Redefining Hematoma Expansion With the Inclusion of Intraventricular Hemorrhage Growth
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background and Purpose— Definitions of significant hematoma expansion traditionally focus on changes in intraparenchymal volume. The presence of intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) is a predictor of poor outcome, but current definitions of hematoma expansion do not include IVH expansion. We evaluated whether including IVH expansion to current definitions of hematoma expansion improves the ability to predict 90-day outcome. Methods— Using data from the PREDICT-ICH study (Predicting Hematoma Growth and Outcome in Intracerebral Hemorrhage Using Contrast Bolus CT), we compared a standard definition of hematoma expansion (≥6 mL or ≥33%) to revised definitions that includes new IVH development or expansion (≥6 mL or ≥33% or any IVH; ≥6 mL or ≥33% or IVH expansion ≥1 mL). The primary outcome was poor clinical outcome (modified Rankin Scale score, 4–6) at 90 days. Diagnostic accuracy measures were calculated for each definition, and C statistics for each definition were compared using nonparametric methods. Results— Of the 256 patients eligible for primary analysis, 127 (49.6%) had a modified Rankin Scale score of 4 to 6. Sensitivity and specificity for the standard definition (n=80) were 45.7% (95% CI, 36.8–54.7) and 82.9% (95% CI, 75.3–88.9), respectively. The revised definition, ≥6 mL or ≥33% or any IVH (n=113), possessed a sensitivity of 63.8% (95% CI, 54.8–72.1) and specificity of 75.2% (95% CI, 66.8–82.4). Overall accuracy was significantly improved with the revised definition ( P =0.013) and after adjusting for relevant covariates, was associated with a 2.55-fold increased odds (95% CI, 1.31–4.94) of poor outcome at 90 days. A second revised definition, ≥6 mL or ≥33% or IVH expansion ≥1 mL, performed similarly (sensitivity, 56.7% [95% CI, 47.6–65.5]; specificity, 78.3% [95% CI, 40.2–85.1]; aOR, 2.40 [95% CI, 1.23–4.69]). Conclusions— In patients with mild-to-moderate ICH, including IVH expansion to the definition of hematoma expansion improves sensitivity with only minimal decreases to specificity and improves overall prediction of 90-day outcome.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".