β 2-Agonists and the Incidence of Parkinson Disease
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A recent study found a decreased risk of Parkinson disease (PD) associated with the β2 adrenergic agonist (β2-agonist) salbutamol. However, other mechanisms might explain this apparent association. Using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we formed a cohort of 2,430,884 patients aged 50 years or older between 1995 and 2016. During follow-up, 8,604 cases of PD were identified and matched to 86,040 controls on sex, age, date of cohort entry, and duration of follow-up, after applying a 1-year latency time window. Incidence rate ratios of PD associated with use of β2-agonists were estimated using conditional logistic regression. Ever-use of β2-agonists was associated with a 17% decreased rate of PD (rate ratio = 0.83, 95% confidence interval: 0.75, 0.91) compared with no use. However, this association was limited to early short-term use and was no longer observed after more than 2 years of cumulative duration of use (rate ratio = 0.97, 95% confidence interval: 0.80, 1.17). A similar pattern was observed when stratifying by time since first β2-agonist prescription and by duration of follow-up. The apparent association of β2-agonists with a decreased risk of PD is likely the result of reverse causality rather than a biological effect of these drugs on the risk of PD.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".