Association Between Patterns of Alcohol Use and Short-Term Risk of Suicide Attempt Among Patients With and Without Reported Suicidal Ideation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between patterns of alcohol use and short-term risk of suicide attempt among patients with and without reported suicidal ideation. METHODS: Kaiser Permanente Washington electronic health record data were used to identify mental health visits (1/1/2010-6/30/2015) with documented assessments for unhealthy alcohol use (AUDIT-C) and suicidal ideation (PHQ-9 ninth question). Logistic regression fit using generalized estimating equations were used to conduct visit-level analyses, accounting for correlation between individuals' assessments. Separate models evaluated the association between (1) level of alcohol consumption and (2) frequency of heavy episodic drinking (HED), in combination with suicidal ideation (any vs none), with suicide attempt within 90 days following each visit. Primary models adjusted for age, gender, race/ethnicity and visit year. RESULTS: Of 59,705 visits (43,706 unique patients), 372 (0.62%) were followed by a suicide attempt within 90 days. The risk of suicide attempt was significantly higher for patients reporting suicidal ideation across all levels of alcohol consumption compared to patients reporting low-level alcohol use and no suicidal ideation, particularly high-level use (OR 9.77, 95% CI, 6.23-15.34). Similarly, risk of suicide attempt was higher for patients reporting suicidal ideation across all levels of HED relative to those reporting no HED or suicidal ideation, particularly HED monthly or more (OR 6.80, 95% CI 4.77-9.72). Among patients reporting no suicidal ideation, no associations were observed. CONCLUSIONS: Findings underscore the potential value of offering alcohol-related care to patient reporting suicidal ideation. Additional strategies are needed to identify suicide risk among those reporting no suicidal ideation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".