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Record W3015178909 · doi:10.1002/phar.2400

Predictive Validity of a QT<sub>c</sub> Interval Prolongation Risk Score in the Intensive Care Unit

2020· article· en· W3015178909 on OpenAlexaff
Ke Su, Rumi McGloin, Rochelle Gellatly

Bibliographic record

VenuePharmacotherapy The Journal of Human Pharmacology and Drug Therapy · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British ColumbiaSurrey Memorial HospitalRoyal Columbian Hospital
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineIntensive care unitConfidence intervalQT intervalInternal medicineRetrospective cohort studyLikelihood ratios in diagnostic testingIntensive careRisk factorCardiologyIntensive care medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Background Torsade de pointes is a form of polymorphic ventricular tachycardia associated with heart rate–corrected QT (QTc) interval prolongation. With approximately 24–61% of critically ill patients experiencing QTc interval prolongation, a predictive tool to identify high‐risk patients could assist in the monitoring and management in the intensive care unit (ICU). The Tisdale et al. Risk Score (TRS) is a predictive tool that was developed and validated in a cardiac critical care unit. Objectives The objective of this study was to evaluate the predictive validity (sensitivity and specificity) and likelihood ratios of the TRS in a medical ICU. Methods This was a longitudinal, retrospective, cohort study of consecutive patients who met the inclusion criteria from October 2017 to June 2018 with a sample size of 264 patients. The sample size was derived based on the number of TRS covariates and an exploratory variable. Baseline characteristics and risk factors were documented from electronic health records. The first occurrence of QTc interval prolongation, defined as a QTc interval > 500 ms or an increase ≥ 60 ms above baseline, was the primary endpoint. Main Results The sensitivity and specificity of the TRS for low‐risk patients against the moderate‐risk and high‐risk patients were 97% (95% CI 91–99%) and 16% (95% CI 11–23%), respectively. These results corresponded to a positive likelihood ratio of 1.15 (95% CI 1.07–1.24) and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.20 (95% CI 0.06–0.65). Conclusions In conclusion, the TRS showed a high sensitivity, making it useful in identifying patients at risk of developing QTc interval prolongation. Furthermore, patients categorized as low risk by the tool can be considered as having minimal risk of developing QTc interval prolongation. Given the tool's low specificity, it does not reliably identify all patients at low risk of QTc interval prolongation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.030
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.023

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.030
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.333
Teacher spread0.296 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations7
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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