Quantifying density-ionization correlations with the 21-cm power spectrum
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACT The epoch of reionization (EoR) – when neutral hydrogen in the intergalactic medium was systematically ionized – is a period in our Universe’s history that is currently poorly understood. However, a key prediction of most models is a correlation between the density and ionization field during the EoR. This has consequences for the 21-cm power spectrum. Here, we propose a parametrization for the density-ionization correlation and study the dependence of the 21-cm power spectrum on this parametrization. We use this formalism to forecast the ability of current and future observations to constrain these correlations. We find that upper limits on the dimensionless power spectrum at redshifts 7.5 < z < 8.5 using k bins between $0.1 \lt k \lt 0.75\, \textrm {Mpc}^{-1}$ with error bars at the level of ${\sim\! }20\, \textrm {mK}^2$ about our fiducial model would rule out uncorrelated reionization at $99{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ credibility. Beyond upper limits, we find that at its full sensitivity, the Hydrogen Epoch of Reionization Array (HERA) will be able to place strong constraints on the sign and magnitude of density-ionization correlations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".