MO051EFFECTS OF SEMAGLUTIDE ON CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE OUTCOMES: A POST HOC POOLED ANALYSIS FROM THE SUSTAIN 6 AND PIONEER 6 TRIALS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background and Aims The SUSTAIN 6 cardiovascular outcomes trial (CVOT) indicated a renal benefit with subcutaneous (s.c.) once-weekly (OW) semaglutide vs placebo. The PIONEER 6 CVOT reported cardiovascular safety with oral semaglutide in a similar cohort using a similar trial design. In the present post hoc study, eGFR data from the SUSTAIN 6 and PIONEER 6 trials were pooled to evaluate the potential benefit of semaglutide (s.c. or oral) vs placebo on chronic kidney disease (CKD) outcomes. Method Data from 6,480 subjects from SUSTAIN 6 (N=3,297; median follow-up, 2.1 years; mean baseline eGFR, 76 mL/min/1.73 m2) and PIONEER 6 (N=3,183; median follow-up, 1.3 years; mean baseline eGFR, 74 mL/min/1.73 m2) were pooled for semaglutide (0.5 mg s.c. OW, 1.0 mg s.c. OW or 14 mg oral once daily) or placebo. We evaluated time to onset of persistent eGFR reduction (thresholds of ≥30%, ≥40%, ≥50% and ≥57% [57% corresponds to a doubling of serum creatinine]) from baseline in the overall pooled population and by baseline CKD subgroups (≥30–<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, n=1,699; ≥60 mL/min/1.73 m2, n=4,762; data were missing for 19 subjects). Analyses were performed using a Cox proportional-hazards model with treatment group (semaglutide vs placebo) and CKD subgroup as fixed factors and the interaction between both stratified by trial. Results In the overall population, the hazard ratios (HRs) for time to onset of persistent eGFR reductions with semaglutide vs placebo were <1.0, but did not achieve statistical significance. In subjects with baseline eGFR ≥30–<60 mL/min/1.73 m2, HRs for semaglutide vs placebo were consistently lower compared with the overall population and, in this subgroup, semaglutide significantly reduced the risk of developing a persistent 30% eGFR reduction vs placebo (Figure; p=0.03). Numerically larger effects were seen with increasing eGFR reduction thresholds in this subgroup, with the exception of the 57% eGFR reduction threshold. No statistically different interactions between treatment and CKD subgroup were observed. Conclusion The findings of this post hoc analysis of pooled data from SUSTAIN 6 and PIONEER 6 on clinically relevant outcomes for CKD support a smaller magnitude of eGFR decline with semaglutide vs placebo, despite relatively short follow-up times. The small number of events at both the 50% and 57% thresholds, and the associated broad confidence intervals, limit the interpretability of the results. In line with previous findings, the data suggest a renal benefit of semaglutide vs placebo in subjects with established CKD. The FLOW trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03819153), which is dedicated to exploring CKD outcomes with semaglutide treatment, is ongoing to test this hypothesis in patients with CKD at baseline.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.013 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.008 | 0.019 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".