Stress Chatter via Fluid Flow and Fault Slip in a Hydraulic Fracturing‐Induced Earthquake Sequence in the Montney Formation, British Columbia
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Source processes of injection‐induced earthquakes involve complex fluid‐rock interaction often elusive to regional seismic monitoring. Here we combine observations from a local seismograph array in the Montney Formation, northeast British Columbia, and stress modeling to examine the spatiotemporal evolution of the 30 November 2018 M w 4.2 (M L 4.5) hydraulic fracturing‐induced earthquake sequence. The isolated occurrence of the mainshock at a depth of ∼ 4.5 km in the crystalline basement 2 days following injection onset at ∼ 2.5 km depth suggests direct triggering by rapid fluid pressure increase via a high‐permeability conduit. Most aftershocks are in the top 2 km sedimentary layers, with focal mechanisms indicating discrete slip along subvertical surfaces in an ∼ 1 km wide deformation zone. Aftershock distribution is consistent with static stress triggering from the M w 4.2 coseismic slip. Our analysis suggests that complex hydraulic and stress transfer between fracture networks needs to be considered in induced seismic hazard assessment.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".