Uneven genotypic diversity of <i>Escherichia coli</i> in fecal sources limits the performance of a library-dependent method of microbial source tracking on the southwestern French Atlantic coast
Bibliographic record
Abstract
To develop a library-dependent method of tracking fecal sources of contamination of beaches on the Atlantic coast of southwestern France, a library of 6368 Escherichia coli isolates was constructed from samples of feces, from 40 known human or animal sources collected in the vicinity of Arcachon Bay in 2010, and in French Basque Country, Landes, and Béarn, between 2017 and 2018. Different schemes of source identification were tested: use of the complete or filtered reference library; characterization of the isolates by genotypic or proteomic profiling based on ERIC-PCR or MALDI-TOF mass spectrometry, respectively; isolate by isolate assignment using either classifiers based on the Pearson similarity or SVM (support vector machine). With the exception of one source identification scheme, which was discarded since it used self-assignment, all tested schemes resulted in low rates of correct classification (<35%) and significant rates of incorrect classification (>15%). The heterogeneous coverage of E. coli genotypic diversity between sources and the uneven distribution of E. coli genotypes in the library likely explain the difficulties encountered in identifying the sources of fecal contamination. Shannon diversity index of sources ranged from 0 for several wildlife species sampled once to 3.03 for sewage treatment plant effluents sampled on various occasions, showing discrepancies between sources. The uneven genotypic composition of the library was attested by the value of the Pielou index (0.54), the high proportion of nondiscriminatory genotypes (>91% of the isolates), and the very low proportion of discriminatory genotypes (<3%). Since efforts made to constitute such a library are not affordable for routine analyses, the results question the relevance of developing such a method for identifying sources of fecal contamination on such a coastline.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".