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Record W3049718518 · doi:10.4337/9781839105326.00017

USMCAs future in context

2020· book-chapter· en· W3049718518 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
David A. Gantz

Bibliographic record

VenueEdward Elgar Publishing eBooks · 2020
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal trade and economics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDemiseChinaCompetitor analysisInternational tradeContext (archaeology)Trade warBusinessFree trade agreementProtectionismInternational economicsPolitical scienceFree tradeEconomyEconomicsGeographyLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This concluding chapter discusses trade disputes and other matters which while not directly related to USMCA could affect the ultimate success of the USMCA in achieving the goals of the parties and stakeholders. These include US Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum (and those threatened on autos and auto parts), with the first two applied to most of the countries that export steel to the United States, whether rivals or allies. (Canada and Mexico were excluded in May 2018 as a condition of approving the USMCA.) Similarly, the ongoing China-United States trade war, despite the truce reflected in the January 2020 agreement, is likely to have an impact on the North American economies for years to come. High US tariffs on Chinese goods could encourage some enterprises to move their operations from China to Mexico, but the tariffs will make production costs for many North American enterprises higher than those of their competitors in China and Asia. China’s retaliatory tariffs will discourage some US exports to China. Indirectly, the demise of the WTO dispute settlement system will have potentially significant impacts on the rules-based international trading system. Finally, the unpredictability of the policies that may be implemented by Presidents Trump and L—pez Obrador promise uncertainties for stakeholders throughout North America.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.730
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.060
GPT teacher head0.195
Teacher spread0.135 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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