Extending Estimates of Tree and Tree Species Presence-Absence through Space and Time Using Landsat Composites
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We developed a methodology for extending estimates of the presence-absence of trees and several tree species contained in the Canadian National Forest Inventory using nationally consistent Landsat data products. For a prototype boreal forest region of Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada, we modeled and assessed changes in the presence-absence of trees and tree species distributions over a 25-year period. Random Forest models of presence-absence of trees had an overall classification accuracy of 0.87 ± 0.019. For five tree species, overall classification accuracies were: 0.74 ± 0.017 for balsam fir; 0.75 ± 0.028 for black spruce; 0.64 ± 0.085 for trembling aspen; 0.64 ± 0.035 for tamarack; and 0.77 ± 0.041 for white birch. While the proportion of treed area increased by 8.5% over the 25-year period, the area occupied by black spruce declined by 13.5%. The area of balsam fir and white birch increased by 9.9% and 28.2%, respectively, while trembling aspen and tamarack changed by less than 5%. The map products developed and trends observed offer baseline information in support of long-term monitoring of treed area and tree species distributions. The demonstrated methods encourage development of spatially-explicit map products to complement spatially or temporally limited forest inventory datasets.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".