Using Prior Culture Results to Improve Initial Empiric Antibiotic Prescribing: An Evaluation of a Simple Clinical Heuristic
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: A patient's prior cultures can inform the subsequent risk of infection from resistant organisms, yet prescribers often fail to incorporate these results into their empiric antibiotic selection. Given that timely initiation of adequate antibiotics has been associated with improved outcomes, there is an urgent need to address this gap. METHODS: In order to better incorporate prior culture results in the selection of empiric antibiotics, we performed a pragmatic, prospective, hospital-wide intervention: (1) empiric antibiotic prescriptions were assessed for clinically significant discordance with the most recent methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) surveillance swab, previous cultures for extended-spectrum beta-lactamases (ESBLs), and the most recent culture for a Gram-negative (GN) organism; and (2) if discordant, an antimicrobial stewardship pharmacist provided recommendations for alternative therapy. The impact was analyzed using a quasi-experimental design comparing two 9-month periods (pre- and postintervention) at a large academic, tertiary care institution. RESULTS: Clinically significant discordance was identified 99 times in the preintervention period and 86 times in the intervention period. The proportion of patients that received concordant therapy increased from 73% (72/99) in the control group to 88% (76/86) in the intervention group (P = .01). The median time to concordant therapy was shorter in the intervention group than the control group (25 vs 55 hrs, respectively; P < .001; adjusted hazard ratio = 1.95 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.37-2.77; P < .001]). The median duration of unnecessary vancomycin therapy was reduced by 1.1 days (95% CI, .5-1.6 days; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: This intervention improved prescribing, with a shorter time to concordant therapy and an increased proportion of patients receiving empiric therapy concordant with prior culture results. The use of unnecessary vancomycin was also reduced.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".