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GRADE Guidelines 30: the GRADE approach to assessing the certainty of modeled evidence—An overview in the context of health decision-making

2020· article· en· W3087770431 on OpenAlexafffund
Jan Brożek, Carlos Canelo‐Aybar, Elie A. Akl, James M. Bowen, John R. Bucher, Weihsueh A. Chiu, M Cronin, Benjamin Djulbegović, Maicon Falavigna, Gordon Guyatt, Ami A. Gordon, Michele Hilton Boon, Raymond Hutubessy, Manuela Joore, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Judy S. LaKind, Miranda Langendam, Veena Manja, Kristen Magnuson, Alexander G. Mathioudakis, Joerg J Meerpohl, Dominik Mertz, Roman Mezencev, Rebecca L. Morgan, Gian Paolo Morgano, Reem A. Mustafa, Martín O’Flaherty, Grace Patlewicz, John J. Riva, Margarita Posso, Andrew A. Rooney, Paul M. Schlosser, Lisa Schwartz, Ian Shemilt, Jean‐Éric Tarride, Kristina A. Thayer, Katya Tsaioun, Luke Vale, John F. Wambaugh, Jessica Wignall, Ashley R. Williams, Feng Xie, Yuan Zhang, Holger J. Schünemann

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Clinical Epidemiology · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicHealth Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
Canadian institutionsMcMaster University Medical CentreHamilton Health SciencesMcMaster UniversityImpactToronto Public HealthCochrane
FundersMedical Research CouncilNational Institutes of HealthLiverpool John Moores UniversityPublic Health AgencyNational Institute of Environmental Health SciencesUniversity of GlasgowNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchUniversiteit van AmsterdamAmerican University of BeirutPublic Health Agency of CanadaWorld Health OrganizationUniversity of South FloridaU.S. Environmental Protection AgencyMcMaster UniversityUniversiteit Maastricht
KeywordsCertaintyTerminologyContext (archaeology)Multidisciplinary approachGrading (engineering)Health careManagement scienceConceptual modelSystematic reviewComputer scienceMedicineMEDLINEEngineeringMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex
No abstract in any covered source. Its absence is recorded, not treated as a negative.

No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.350
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.398
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.534
Threshold uncertainty score0.669

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.3500.398
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0040.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0020.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.948
GPT teacher head0.695
Teacher spread0.253 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations289
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractno

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