Cut-off phenomenon for the maximum of a sampling of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this article we study the so-called cut-off phenomenon in the total variation distance when $n\to \infty$ for the family of continuous-time stochastic processes indexed by $n\in \mathbb{N}$, \[ \left( \mathcal{Z}^{(n)}_t= \max\limits_{j\in \{1,\ldots,n\}}{X^{(j)}_t}:t\geq 0\right), \] where $X^{(1)},\ldots,X^{(n)}$ is a sampling of $n$ ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by stable processes of index $\alpha$. It is not hard to see that for each $n\in \mathbb{N}$, $\mathcal{Z}^{(n)}_t$ converges in the total variation distance to a limiting distribution $\mathcal{Z}^{(n)}_\infty$ as $t$ goes by. Using the asymptotic theory of extremes; in the Gaussian case we prove that the total variation distance between the distribution of $\mathcal{Z}^{(n)}_t$ and its limiting distribution $\mathcal{Z}^{(n)}_\infty$ converges to a universal function in a constant time window around the cut-off time, a fact known as profile cut-off in the context of stochastic processes. On the other hand, in the heavy-tailed case we prove that there is not cut-off.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.017 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".