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Developing trustworthy recommendations as part of an urgent response (1–2 weeks): a GRADE concept paper

2020· article· en· W3091337614 on OpenAlexafffund
Elie A. Akl, Rebecca L. Morgan, Andrew A. Rooney, Brandy Beverly, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Arnav Agarwal, Brian S. Alper, Carlos Alva‐Díaz, Laura Amato, Mohammed Ansari, Jan Brożek, Derek K. Chu, Philipp Dahm, Andrea Darzi, Maicon Falavigna, Gerald Gartlehner, Héctor Pardo‐Hernández, Valerie King, Jitka Klugarová, Miranda Langendam, Craig Lockwood, Manoj J. Mammen, Alexander G. Mathioudakis, Michael McCaul, Joerg J Meerpohl, Silvia Minozzi, Reem A. Mustafa, Francesco Nonino, Thomas Piggott, Amir Qaseem, John J. Riva, Rachel Rodin, Nigar Sekercioglu, Nicole Skoetz, Gregory Traversy, Kris Thayer, Holger J. Schünemann

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Clinical Epidemiology · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicClinical practice guidelines implementation
Canadian institutionsPublic Health Agency of CanadaUniversity of OttawaUniversity of TorontoMcMaster UniversityImpactMcMaster University Medical Centre
FundersMedical Research CouncilManchester Biomedical Research CentreNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchAllerGenChief Scientist OfficeNetworks of Centres of Excellence of CanadaScottish GovernmentCanadian Allergy, Asthma and Immunology Foundation
KeywordsTrustworthinessMedicineMEDLINEMedical educationComputer sciencePolitical scienceComputer security

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study is to propose an approach for developing trustworthy recommendations as part of urgent responses (1-2 week) in the clinical, public health, and health systems fields. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted a review of the literature, outlined a draft approach, refined the concept through iterative discussions, a workshop by the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation Rapid Guidelines project group, and obtained feedback from the larger Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation working group. RESULTS: A request for developing recommendations within 2 week is the usual trigger for an urgent response. Although the approach builds on the general principles of trustworthy guideline development, we highlight the following steps: (1) assess the level of urgency; (2) assess feasibility; (3) set up the organizational logistics; (4) specify the question(s); (5) collect the information needed; (6) assess the adequacy of identified information; (7) develop the recommendations using one of the 4 potential approaches: adopt existing recommendations, adapt existing recommendations, develop new recommendations using existing adequate systematic review, or develop new recommendations using expert panel input; and (8) consider an updating plan. CONCLUSION: An urgent response for developing recommendations requires building a cohesive, skilled, and highly motivated multidisciplinary team with the necessary clinical, scientific, and methodological expertise; adapting to shifting needs; complying with the principles of transparency; and properly managing conflicts of interest.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.462
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.594
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesMetaresearch
DomainCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.538
Threshold uncertainty score0.663

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.4620.594
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0030.004
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.006
Bibliometrics0.0090.004
Science and technology studies0.0070.008
Scholarly communication0.0140.022
Open science0.0090.019
Research integrity0.0150.014
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.003

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.711
GPT teacher head0.639
Teacher spread0.071 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; the direct Gemma label and the distilled Codex classifier agree on what is shown here.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
DomainMethods
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations35
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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