A Deep Learning Algorithm for Solar Radiation Time Series Forecasting: A Case Study of El Kelaa Des Sraghna City
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Nowadays, the studies that address solar radiation (SR) forecasting tend to focus on the implementation of conventional techniques. This provides good results, but researchers should focus on the creation of new methodologies that help us in going further and boost the prediction accuracy of SR data. The prime aim of this research study is to propose an efficient deep learning (DL) algorithm that can handle nonlinearities and dynamic behaviors of the meteorological data, and generate accurate real-time forecasting of hourly global solar radiation (GSR) data of the city of El Kelaa des Sraghna (32°2’53”N 7°24’30”W), Morocco. The proposed DL algorithm integrates the dynamic model named Elman neural network with a new input configuration-based autoregressive process in order to learn from the seasonal patterns of the historical SR measurements, and the actual measurements of air temperature. The attained performance proves the reliability and the accuracy of the proposed model to forecast the hourly GSR time series in case of missing values detection or pyranometer damage. Hence, electrical power engineers can adopt this forecasting tool to improve the integration of solar power resources into the power grid system.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".