Cerebrospinal fluid tau biomarkers in the prediction and concordance of neurofibrillary tangle and amyloid pathology
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) measures of tau (p‐tau181 and t‐tau) are central to the research diagnostic criteria for Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Nevertheless, alternative tau phosphorylation sites or tau fragments merit further evaluation to better index neurofibrillary tangle (NFT) and amyloid‐β (Aβ) pathology. Method We evaluated 168 participants from the TRIAD cohort (young controls, cognitively normal controls (CN), mild cognitive impairment, frontotemporal dementia and AD patients). LUMIPULSE® G1200 (Fujirebio) was used to measure CSF p‐tau181 and t‐tau. CSF p‐tau231 was quantified using a prototype ELISA assay (ADx NeuroSciences). CSF p‐tau217 and tau368 was measured using an in‐house Simoa assay (University of Gothenburg). For PET ([18F]MK6240 and [18F]AZD4694), standard uptake value ratios (SUVR) were determined using the cerebellar and cerebellar cortex as reference tissue, respectively. Finally, ROC curves were generated to investigate the predictive power of the CSF biomarkers. Result All CSF p‐tau biomarkers equally associated with [18F]MK6240 (r>0.51), while CSF p‐tau231 correlated more to [18F]AZD4694 (r=0.815) than other tau biomarkers. ROC curves revealed p‐tau biomarkers accurately detected Braak I‐II (AUC>0.905) and III‐IV positivity (AUC>0.940), with p‐tau217 significantly out performing p‐tau231 and p‐tau181 at both stages. Tau368/t‐tau ratio was the superior biomarker in the prediction of Braak V‐VI positivity. P‐tau217 and p‐tau231 demonstrated high accuracy in predicting Aβ positivity (ROC>0.950). This was significantly better than p‐tau181 (p‐tau217, P<0.01; p‐tau231, P<0.001). Prediction of Aβ positivity was also high at the pre‐symptomatic stage for p‐tau231 (ROC>0.9) and again was significantly superior to p‐tau181 (P<0.01). All p‐tau biomarkers demonstrated full concordance (CSF‐/PET‐) with [18F]MK6240 and [18F]AZD4694 for young controls and FTD subjects. P‐tau217 and p‐tau231 demonstrated high concordance with [18F]MK6240 and discordant cases were restricted to the CSF+/PET‐ quadrant (Figure 1). In the same manner, CSF p‐tau217 and p‐tau231 demonstrated the highest concordance with [18F]AZD4694, although subjects were observed in both discordant quadrants (Figure 2). Conclusion All CSF p‐tau biomarkers relate to NFT pathology to the same degree, however, tau368/t‐tau seemingly characterises NFT pathology at an advanced stage. CSF p‐tau217 and p‐tau231 are better predictors of Aβ pathology, with p‐tau231 a stronger predictor of Aβ pathology at the pre‐symptomatic stage.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".