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Record W3112901974 · doi:10.1002/sim.8848

Mean comparisons and power calculations to ensure reproducibility in preclinical drug discovery

2020· article· en· W3112901974 on OpenAlexaff
Steven Novick, Tianhui Zhang

Bibliographic record

VenueStatistics in Medicine · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldVeterinary
TopicAnimal testing and alternatives
Canadian institutionsAstraZeneca (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsReproducibilitySample size determinationStatistical powerStatisticsComputer sciencePower analysisStatistical hypothesis testingPower (physics)Sample (material)Multiple comparisons problemData miningFalse discovery rateReliability engineeringMathematicsAlgorithmChemistry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the pharmaceutical industry, in vivo animal experiments are conducted to test the effects of novel preclinical drug compounds. Well-planned animal studies involve a sample size and statistical power analysis to provide a basis for the number of animals allocated into comparator arms of a future study. These calculations require approximate values for the parameters of a statistical model that will be applied to the future data and used to test for differences via statistical hypotheses. If the prestudy parameter estimates are nearly correct, the power analysis guarantees that a difference will be detected from the study data, up to a prespecified probability. Traditional power computations, however, are not calculated with reproducibility in mind. In this work, the issue of reproducibility in drug discovery is tackled from the point of view that study-to-study variability is not included in a typical sample size and power analysis. Three proposed methods that yield a reproducible mean-comparison analysis are derived and compared.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.013
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.063
Threshold uncertainty score0.995

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.013
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.258
GPT teacher head0.485
Teacher spread0.227 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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