Bibliographic record
Abstract
The year 2020 will certainly be one to remember. The Corona crisis affected all areas of life, not least the financial markets. Equities suffered a rapid decline in the spring, but subsequently managed to regain a lot of ground. Tech stocks in particular gave a strong showing, the NASDAQ even hit a new record high on July 1. Still the MSCI World Index suffered a decline of almost 9% during the first half. Between February 20 and March 23, the index lost 35% of its value. In order to combat the crisis, governments and central banks worldwide pumped 18 trillion dollars into the system. Virtually all industrialized countries have cut their interest rates to 0, and massive bond buying programs by central banks resulted in corporate bonds posting an 8% return during the second quarter. Investors seem convinced that inflation will not be a problem and that rates will remain at zero for a long time to come. Unsurprisingly, gold was one of the winners of the crisis. It ended the second quarter at prices around 1.800 dollars, the highest level since September 2011.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.041 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".