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Record W3124675386

Seasonality of exchange rates in Ghana

2015· article· en· W3124675386 on OpenAlex
John Barnes Evans, Tawiah Vincent Konadu

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch in Drama Education The Journal of Applied Theatre and Performance · 2015
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicFinancial Analysis and Corporate Governance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSeasonalityLiberian dollarDepreciation (economics)Exchange rateAutoregressive integrated moving averageEconomicsQuarter (Canadian coin)EconometricsSeasonal adjustmentRegression analysisStatisticsGeographyMathematicsVariable (mathematics)Monetary economicsTime seriesFinanceEconomic growth
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The seasonality of Ghanaian economic activities such as agriculture, consumption, money supply among others which affect exchange rate gives the impression that, the Cedi – US Dollar rate also follows a particular pattern within the year. Using quarterly interbank Exchange rate data from 2000 to 2014, sourced from Bank of Ghana,this study has established the quarterly behaviour of the Cedi against the US Dollar. To achieve this, both statistical analysis and econometric model including trend, F – Test, K – Test and regression were computed with the aid of X-12 Census ARIMA program provided by the US Census Bureau. Whiles the trend analysis suggest seasonal depreciation of the Cedi with peak in the fourth quarter, the regression results indicates statistically insignificant average mean difference between the quarters. However, the moving seasonality test showed a cyclical pattern of seasonal frequencies evolving from year to year. The general conclusion we established from the study is that depreciation of the Ghana cedi to the dollar follows a moving seasonality with a pattern constantly repeated year to year

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.378
Threshold uncertainty score0.178

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.067
GPT teacher head0.315
Teacher spread0.248 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it