New quantile based ridge M-estimator for linear regression models with multicollinearity and outliers
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The ordinary least squares and ridge regression estimators in a multiple linear regression model with multicollinearity and y-direction outliers lead to unfavorable results. In order to mitigate such situation, the available literature provides few ridge M-estimators to get precise estimates. The ridge parameter, k, plays a vital role in a bias-variance tradeoff for these estimators. However, for high signal-to-noise ratio and multicollinearity with y-direction outliers, the available methods may not perform well in terms of their mean squared error. In this article, we propose a new quantile based ridge M-estimator. The new estimator gives an automated choice of quantile probability of ridge parameter according to the level of noise and multicollinearity. Based on a simulation study, the new estimator outperforms the ordinary least square estimator, ridge estimator, and other considered ridge M-estimators especially for high multicollinearity, significant error variance, and y-direction outliers. Besides normal distribution, new estimator also performs well for heavy-tailed error distribution. Finally, two real-life examples are used to illustrate the application of the proposed estimator.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".