Estimation of mixing in the troposphere from Lagrangian trace gas reconstructions during long-range pollution plume transport
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The dispersion and mixing of pollutant plumes during long-range transport across the North Atlantic is studied using ensembles of diffusive backward trajectories in order to estimate turbulent diffusivity coefficients in the free troposphere under stratified flow conditions. Values of the order of 0.3-1 m2 s−1 and 1 × 104 m2 s−1 for the vertical and horizontal diffusivity coefficients D v and D h , respectively, are derived. Uncertainties related to the method are discussed, and results are compared with previous estimates of atmospheric mixing rates. These diffusivity estimates also yield an estimate of the vertical/horizontal aspect ratio of tracer structures in the troposphere. Results from this case study are used to estimate grid resolutions needed to accurately simulate the intercontinental transport of pollutants as being of the order of 500 m in the vertical and at least 40 km in the horizontal. This work forms the basis of high-resolution chemical simulations using ensembles of diffusive backward trajectories.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it