Factors associated with estrous expression and subsequent fertility in lactating dairy cows using automated activity monitoring
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The objective of this observational study was to identify factors associated with estrous duration (DU) and intensity measured as the peak of activity (PA) change and subsequent fertility in lactating Holstein cows using a neck-mounted automated activity monitor (Heatime Pro, SCR Engineers Ltd., Netanya, Israel). Ambient temperature and relative humidity were recorded hourly to calculate the temperature-humidity index (THI). A total of 5,933 estrus events from 3,132 cows located on 8 commercial dairy farms in Germany were used for this study. Farms participated in monthly DHIA testing. Pregnancy diagnosis was performed either by transrectal palpation [farm 1: 42 ± 3 d; farm 3: 40 ± 3 d; farms 4 and 8: 38 ± 3 d; farm 5: 43 ± 3 d after artificial insemination (AI)] or transrectal ultrasonography (farms 2, 6, and 7: 30 ± 3 d after AI). Estrous intensity was categorized based on peak activity of estrus into low (35-89 index value), and high (90-100 index value) PA. Overall, 73.5% of estrus events were of high PA. The mean (± standard error of the mean) DU was 14.94 ± 0.06 h. There was a strong correlation between DU and PA (r = 0.67). In the final statistical model, only PA was associated with pregnancy per artificial insemination (P/AI), with 1.35 greater odds of pregnancy for cows with high PA compared with cows with low PA. Increased THI 1 wk before AI was associated with shorter DU, lower PA, and decreased P/AI. A small percentage of cows (4.7%) showed short interestrus intervals (i.e., more than 1 activity peak within 7 d close to the event of estrus), resulting in reduced DU, PA, and P/AI. The change of weighted rumination was associated with DU and PA, as a lower nadir was associated with a greater risk for high PA and long DU. There was no association, however, between the nadir of change of weighted rumination and P/AI. Whereas milk yield and somatic cell count from the DHIA test date before AI were negatively associated with estrous expression, neither milk yield nor somatic cell count was associated with P/AI. Surprisingly, multiparous cows expressed estrus with longer DU (13.15 ± 0.31 h) compared with primiparous cows (12.52 ± 0.32 h), whereas PA did not differ among parities. Pregnancy per AI was greater for primiparous (29.4%) than for multiparous (22.1%) cows. An estrus event with long DU or high PA was more likely later in lactation. Milk fat, milk protein, milk urea nitrogen, and lactose from the DHIA test date closest to AI had no association with estrous expression or P/AI. In conclusion, DU and PA were highly correlated, and cows with high PA were particularly associated with greater odds for pregnancy. A negative association between estrous expression and P/AI was identified for increased THI 1 wk before AI and cows with short interestrus intervals using automated activity monitor.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".