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Record W3135517093 · doi:10.12927/hcpol.2021.26428

Evaluation of Rheumatology Workforce Supply Changes in Ontario, Canada, from 2000 to 2030

2021· article· fr· W3135517093 on OpenAlex
Jessica Widdifield, Sasha Bernatsky, Janet Pope, Bindee Kuriya, Claire Barber, Lihi Eder, Vandana Ahluwalia, Vicki Ling, Peter Gozdyra, Catherine Hofstetter, Anne Lyddiatt, J. Michael Paterson, Carter Thorne

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
fundA Canadian funder is recorded on the work.
venuePublished in a venue whose home country is Canada.
aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.

Bibliographic record

VenueHealthcare policy · 2021
Typearticle
Languagefr
FieldMedicine
TopicMusculoskeletal Disorders and Rehabilitation
Canadian institutionsWilliam Osler Health SystemWomen's College HospitalSouthlake Regional Health CenterResearch CanadaSunnybrook Health Science CentreMcGill University Health CentreSinai Health SystemUniversity of TorontoCanadian Patient Safety InstituteSt Joseph's Health CareWestern University
FundersInstitute of Musculoskeletal Health and ArthritisAlberta Medical AssociationUniversity of TorontoOntario Ministry of Health and Long-Term CareArthritis SocietyCanadian Institutes of Health ResearchSunnybrook Research Institute
KeywordsRheumatologyWorkforceMedicineSpecialtyInternal medicineHealth carePopulationFamily medicinePhysical therapyBusinessEconomic growthEnvironmental health

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Rheumatology workforces are increasingly challenged by too few physicians in face of the growing burden of rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMDs). Rheumatology is one of the most frequent non-surgical specialty referrals and has the longest wait times for subspecialists. We used a population-based approach to describe changes in the rheumatology workforce, patient volumes and geographic variation in the supply of and access to rheumatologists, in Ontario, Canada, between 2000 and 2019, and projected changes in supply by 2030. Over time, we observed greater feminization of the workforce and increasing age of workforce members. We identified a large regional variation in rheumatology supply. Fewer new patients are seen annually, which likely contributes to increasing wait times and reduced access to care. Strategies and policies to raise the critical mass and improve regional distribution of supply to effectively provide rheumatology care and support the healthcare delivery of patients with RMDs are needed.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.476
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.350
Teacher spread0.310 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it