Behaviour of the Monotone Single Index Model Under Repeated Measurements
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The generalized linear model is an important method in the statistical toolkit. The isotonic single index model can be thought of as a further generalization whereby the link function is assumed to be monotone non-decreasing as opposed to known and fixed. Such a shape constraint is quite natural in many statistical problems, and is fulfilled by the usual generalized linear models. In this paper we consider inference in this model in the setting where repeated measurements of predictor values and associated responses are observed. This setting is encountered in medical studies and is very different from the one considered in the classical monotone single index model studied in the literature. Here, we use nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation to infer the unknown regression vector and link function. We present a detailed study of finite and asymptotic properties of this estimator and propose goodness-of-fit tests for the model. Through an extended simulation study, we show that the model has competitive predictive performance. We illustrate our estimation approach using a Leukemia data set.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.034 | 0.093 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".