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Record W3139544244 · doi:10.82308/12359

Modelling the impacts of sea level rise on tidal wetlands

2016· article· en· W3139544244 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Dante Torio

Bibliographic record

VenueeScholarship@McGill (McGill) · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeophysics and Gravity Measurements
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaU.S. Geological SurveyNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationComisión Nacional para el Conocimiento y Uso de la Biodiversidad, Gobierno de MéxicoNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationCommission for Environmental CooperationEuropean Space AgencyConsortium of International Agricultural Research CentersNational Estuarine Research Reserve System
KeywordsWetlandSea level riseEnvironmental scienceOceanographyFisheryGeographyClimate changeGeologyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this century, it is expected that both coastal land development and sea level rise will pose a major threat to tidal wetlands. Historically, tidal salt marshes and mangroves have adjusted to sea level rise, but how they will adjust to the accelerated sea level rise associated with anthropogenic climate change is uncertain. Future adjustments are likely to be limited both by the capacity of the wetlands to accrete, the ability of the vegetation at the seaward edge to tolerate greater hydroperiods and the suitability of inland areas for wetland migration. With the presence of natural and anthropogenic barriers inland, the capacity of wetlands to adjust to sea level rise and the provision of their ecosystem services are likely to be compromised. Using spatially explicit analyses in a geographic information system (GIS), this thesis presents a series of studies modelling magnitude and impacts associated with sea level rise and how these threats will affect two ecosystem services-habitat provision and carbon storage. An index quantifying threats to migration space or 'coastal squeeze' was developed based upon elevation, accretion, slope and degree of imperviousness of intertidal zone. The index was used to rank the threats of coastal squeeze to three marshes at different sea level rise rates. A modification of the coastal squeeze index, using global datasets, was applied to rank the level of threat to North American salt marshes and mangroves. Using a suite of landscape ecology metrics, I examined the impacts of coastal squeeze and different rates of sea level rise on the spatial distribution, size, shape and orientation of wetland patches as they relate to the quality, quantity and availability of fish habitat. The results of different assumptions of accretion rates (i.e., constant rate vs. accretion rate equals sea level rise rate) were compared. Finally, using a spatially and temporally explicit model, I evaluated the sensitivity of carbon storage in a marsh relative to the different rates and trends (i.e., linear vs. non-linear) of sea level rise, spatial variations in vertical accretion, creek expansion, inland migration and topography.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.066
Threshold uncertainty score0.131

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.221
Teacher spread0.174 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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