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Record W3151813406

A ‘Mosaic’ Perspective of Climate Due to Natural and Societal Influences

2019· article· en· W3151813406 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
E. Craig Jowett

Bibliographic record

VenueSSRN Electronic Journal · 2019
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsImpervious surfaceUrban heat islandClimate changePopulationGeographyUrban climatePopulation growthFlooding (psychology)Natural resource economicsGreenhouse gasUrbanizationEnvironmental scienceEconomicsEcologyMeteorologyEconomic growth
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In response to the recent statement by the UN General Assembly President that only 11 years remain to avert global climate catastrophe, this paper investigates the effects of human population on climate and the ability to sustain ourselves, and finds that claims of crisis are overstated. UN data show that world agricultural food crops substantially exceed population growth, Canada reports that forest fires decreased markedly in number since 1990, other federal agencies show that atmospheric CO2 mimics population growth and is therefore likely anthropogenic, they report that natural isostacy and groundwater-taking explains some coastal land subsidence, and that much flooding is due to impervious surfaces in urban areas. Government data for rural and urban Ontario Canada show that there is insufficient correlation between air temperature and CO2 concentration to conclude that CO2 is creating heat as a greenhouse gas. Instead, urban ‘climate islands’ that produce heat and CO2 concomitantly appear as the driver of apparent climate change. One representation is that of large cities being stationary source nodes of permanent heat and CO2 broadcasting outwards into their surrounds. This perspective is akin to a series of local urban-rural ‘mosaics’ instead of a global melting pot, and as such it is also potentially uncovering the central roots of climate change and not simply the averaged symptoms.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.024

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0020.010
Scholarly communication0.0050.007
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.249
Teacher spread0.244 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2019
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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