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Physics-Based Prognostics for LCF Crack Nucleation Life of IMI 685 Aero-engine Compressor Disc

2013· article· en· W3152285607 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueAnnual Conference of the PHM Society · 2013
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicMechanical Failure Analysis and Simulation
Canadian institutionsLife Prediction Technologies (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsNucleationPrognosticsMaterials scienceProbabilistic logicGas compressorFracture (geology)Structural engineeringLow-cycle fatigueLog-normal distributionMechanicsMathematicsPhysicsEngineeringMetallurgyMechanical engineeringStatisticsReliability engineeringThermodynamicsComposite material

Abstract

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 A life cycle management-expert system (LCM-ES) framework is employed in this work for physics-based prognostics of a compressor disc. The modeling approach involves the integration of both global behavior and localized response of component at the microstructural level. This paper presents the results of a low cycle fatigue (LCF) case study for a near alpha titanium alloy (IMI 685) high pressure compressor disc using a microstructure based damage model and finite element analysis results. Both deterministic and probabilistic crack nucleation lives are determined at the two critical locations. The lognormal distributions of α-grain structure of IMI685 and hard alpha (HA) inclusions is considered in the probabilistic analysis, while the deterministic life is predicted based on their extreme values that would represent the worst life. In the LCF modeling, the plastic strain estimation assumes an empirical coefficient that has a strong dependence on the alpha grains and defect size. The proposed life prediction model is capable of capturing the effect of the grain size and hard alpha particle density variation on the LCF crack nucleation life. The worst case deterministic life corresponds well with 0.1% probability of failure and lie around 3542 and 4710 cycles respectively for the primary fracture critical location in the disc.
 
 

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Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.429
Threshold uncertainty score0.343

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.023
GPT teacher head0.224
Teacher spread0.201 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it