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Record W3166720080 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-415307/v1

The Impact of Panel Composition and Topic on Stakeholder Perspectives: Generating Hypotheses from Online Maternal and Child Health Modified-Delphi Panels

2021· preprint· en· W3166720080 on OpenAlexaff
Dmitry Khodyakov, Sujeong Park, Jennifer A. Hutcheon, Sara M. Parisi, Lisa M. Bodnar

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicDelphi Technique in Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersNational Institutes of Health
KeywordsDelphi methodSeriousnessStakeholderComputer-assisted web interviewingPsychologyScale (ratio)PsychosocialDelphiMedicineApplied psychologyPublic relationsBusinessMarketingComputer sciencePolitical science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background : Multi-stakeholder engagement is crucial for conducting health services research. Delphi-based methodologies combining iterative rounds of questions with feedback on and discussion of group results are a well-documented approach to multi-stakeholder engagement. The aim of this study is to develop hypotheses about the impact of panel composition and topic on the propensity and meaningfulness of response changes in multi-stakeholder modified-Delphi panels. Methods: We conducted three online modified-Delphi multi-stakeholder panels using the same protocol. We assigned 60 maternal and child health professionals to a homogeneous (professionals-only) panel, 60 pregnant or postpartum women (patients) to a homogeneous panel, and 30 professionals and 30 patients to a mixed panel. In Round 1, participants rated seriousness of 11 maternal and child health outcomes using 0-100 scale and explained their ratings. In Round 2, participants saw Round 1 results and discussed them using anonymous, moderated online discussion boards. In Round 3, participants revised their original ratings. Our outcome measures included binary indicators of response changes to ratings of low, medium, and high severity maternal and child health outcomes and their meaningfulness, measured by a change of 10 or more points on a 0-100 scale. Results : Participants changed 55% of responses; the majority of response changes were meaningful. We developed three main hypotheses. First, stakeholders may be more likely to change their responses on preference-sensitive topics where there is a range of viable alternatives or perspectives. Second, patients may be more likely to change their responses and to do so meaningfully in mixed panels, whereas professionals may be more likely to do so in homogeneous panels. Third, the association between panel composition and response change may vary according to the topic. Conclusions: Results of our work not only helped generate empirically-derived hypotheses to be tested in future research, but also offer practical recommendations for designing multi-stakeholder online modified-Delphi panels. Registration: International Registered Report Identifier: DERR1-10.2196/16478

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesScience and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.614
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.400
GPT teacher head0.514
Teacher spread0.115 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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