P633 Clinical epidemiology of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Lbanon
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background The worldwide epidemiology of Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) is changing. Increasing Crohn’s disease (CD) and Ulcerative Colitis (UC) incidence and prevalence have been recorded. In Lebanon, the current status of IBD is not well known. Methods The aim is to report patients’ characteristics newly diagnosed with IBD in Lebanon based on Montreal classification and to report the prevalence and the incidence of IBD in the Lebanese population during a period of 20 years. This is a retrospective study conducted in collaboration with the National Institute of Pathology, from January 2001 till December 2020 were reviewed. Patients were characterized based on: sex, age at diagnosis, year of diagnosis, location and extension of the disease. Results A total of 3101 new IBD cases were identified (1504 UC, 1597 CD), mean age for UC and CD was 41.05 years and 36.5 years, respectively. sex ratio (M/F) of 1.15 and 1.29 in UC and CD, respectively. In UC, the 3 age groups distribution, ≤ 16 years, 17–40 years and > 40 years were 5.72%, 47.83% and 40.45%, respectively. Regarding the location distribution, E3 was the most prevalent (55.6%), followed by E1 (24.6%) and E2 (19.8%); with no difference between male and female. Similar pattern of location distribution was noted in the 3 age groups. There was no difference in age of diagnosis but a significant increase of E3 from 40% (2001–2010) to 60% (2011–2020) was noted. In CD, 5.54%, 58.93% and 35.53% of patients were aged ≤ 16 years, 17–40 years and > 40 years, respectively. L1, L2, L3 and L4 represented 57.8%, 16.72%, 23.42% and 1.88% of the location distribution, respectively; without difference between male and female. L1 is significantly higher in the young age groups (≤ 16 years: 68.75% and 17–40 years: 67.72%) compared to the older age group (> 40 years: 39.06%) whereas L2 and L3 were higher in the older age group. When divided into two 10-year periods, there was a significant increase of L1 (63%) in the last 10 years (2010–2020) compared to the 10 years before (40%) and an increase of the disease incidence in the age group 17–40 years. Based on all these data, we calculated the incidence of UC and CD and their progression during this period of 20 years. We noted a progressive increase of the incidence of IBD, especially for CD in the last 3 years. The cumulative incidence of UC and CD were 4.686 and 4.582, respectively. The prevalence of UC and CD were 69.9 par 100000 and 68.35 per 100000, respectively. Conclusion The mean age of IBD in Lebanon is higher than that described in Europe and North America. Pancolitis in UC and ileal involvement in CD remain the most common forms found. There was an increase of the incidence of IBD during the last 20 years and especially of CD during the last 3 years
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".