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Record W3192820563 · doi:10.1680/jgeen.21.00105

Improving governance will not be sufficient to avoid dam failures

2021· article· en· W3192820563 on OpenAlexaff
M. G. Jefferies

Bibliographic record

VenueProceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Geotechnical Engineering · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicGeotechnical Engineering and Soil Mechanics
Canadian institutionsGeomechanica (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCorporate governanceStewardship (theology)DamagesCompetence (human resources)Tailings damTailingsEngineeringBusinessForensic engineeringEnvironmental planningRisk analysis (engineering)Political scienceEnvironmental scienceManagementFinanceLawEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The last two decades have seen five large tailings dam failures, which developed suddenly and statically with damages of US$ billions and many deaths. These are company-threatening events, far outside societal tolerance, with investors questioning the situation. While media attribute these failures to mining companies, the underlying cause is a failure in engineering education: engineers of record, and their reviewers, lacked an adequate understanding of soil behaviour. The initiative to improve tailings stewardship by the International Council on Mining & Metals, with its focus on process and governance, will not achieve its aims unless this shortfall in understanding of soil behaviour is addressed. Critical state theory quantifies how and why void ratio controls soil behaviour, and was necessary to understand the Fundoa, Cadia and Brumadinho liquefactions (the rapid drained to undrained transition in particular); this critical state framework must become a ‘core competence’ for tailings dam engineers of record. Little additional cost will arise from doing this, with the largest change in practice being adoption of finite-element analysis for stability assessment. The biggest challenge is education, with engineers needing to familiarise themselves with the largely untaught critical state theory (there are public-domain resources for this, as given in the Appendix to this paper).

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.291
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.178
Teacher spread0.173 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations14
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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