Peripheral Oxygen Saturation Facilitates Assessment of Respiratory Dysfunction in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score With Implications for the Sepsis-3 Criteria
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score is the basis of the Sepsis-3 criteria and requires arterial blood gas analysis to assess respiratory function. Peripheral oxygen saturation is a noninvasive alternative but is not included in neither Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score nor Sepsis-3. We aimed to assess the association between worst peripheral oxygen saturation during onset of suspected infection and mortality. DESIGN: Cohort study of hospital admissions from a main cohort and emergency department visits from four external validation cohorts between year 2011 and 2018. Data were collected from electronic health records and prospectively by study investigators. SETTING: Eight academic and community hospitals in Sweden and Canada. PATIENTS: Adult patients with suspected infection episodes. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The main cohort included 19,396 episodes (median age, 67.0 [53.0-77.0]; 9,007 [46.4%] women; 1,044 [5.4%] died). The validation cohorts included 10,586 episodes (range of median age, 61.0-76.0; women 42.1-50.2%; mortality 2.3-13.3%). Peripheral oxygen saturation levels 96-95% were not significantly associated with increased mortality in the main or pooled validation cohorts. At peripheral oxygen saturation 94%, the adjusted odds ratio of death was 1.56 (95% CI, 1.10-2.23) in the main cohort and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.00-1.85) in the pooled validation cohorts and increased gradually below this level. Respiratory assessment using peripheral oxygen saturation 94-91% and less than 91% to generate 1 and 2 Sequential Organ Failure Assessment points, respectively, improved the discrimination of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score from area under the receiver operating characteristics 0.75 (95% CI, 0.74-0.77) to 0.78 (95% CI, 0.77-0.80; p < 0.001). Peripheral oxygen saturation/Fio2 ratio had slightly better predictive performance compared with peripheral oxygen saturation alone, but the clinical impact was minor. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide evidence for assessing respiratory function with peripheral oxygen saturation in the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and the Sepsis-3 criteria. Our data support using peripheral oxygen saturation thresholds 94% and 90% to get 1 and 2 Sequential Organ Failure Assessment respiratory points, respectively. This has important implications primarily for emergency practice, rapid response teams, surveillance, research, and resource-limited settings.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.005 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".