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Record W3197965471 · doi:10.1101/2021.08.27.21262722

Risk of Serious Infections in Patients with Psoriasis on Biologic Therapies: An Updated Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

2021· preprint· en· W3197965471 on OpenAlexaff
L. Manounah, Zenas Z N Yiu, Satveer K. Mahil, L.S. Exton, Martinsixtus Ezejimofor, A. David Burden, Ruth Murphy, Caroline Owen, Richard Parslew, Richard Woolf, Catherine Smith, M.F. Mohd Mustapa

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldImmunology and Microbiology
TopicPsoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis
Canadian institutionsInstitute of Infection and Immunity
FundersLEO PharmaSwedish Orphan BiovitrumBristol-Myers SquibbEli Lilly and CompanyGaldermaCilagUniversity of ManchesterBritish Association of DermatologistsNational Institute for Health and Care ResearchMedical Research CouncilCelgeneSanofiPfizerKing's College London
KeywordsMedicineSecukinumabAdalimumabEtanerceptIxekizumabCertolizumab pegolInfliximabUstekinumabPlaceboInternal medicinePsoriasisAnakinraOdds ratioMeta-analysisDermatologyPsoriatic arthritisRheumatoid arthritisTumor necrosis factor alphaAlternative medicineDisease

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Background The increase in the number of available biologic agents for psoriasis has led to an urgent need to evaluate their associated risk of serious infections to help inform clinical decisions. Methodology We systematically searched PubMed, Medline, Embase, and Cochrane databases for biologics targeting TNF (adalimumab, etanercept, infliximab, certolizumab pegol), interleukin (IL)-12/23 (ustekinumab), IL-17A (secukinumab, ixekizumab), IL-17RA (brodalumab) and IL-23p19 (guselkumab, risankizumab, and tildrakizumab) for the primary outcome serious infections, at 10– 16 weeks, 1 year and 3 years. Peto’s method (fixed effect model) was used to estimate the pooled odds ratio (OR) in meta-analyses comparing biologics with one another, methotrexate, or placebo. Results Forty-three publications (49 trials) consisting of 29,724 participants met our inclusion criteria. Serious infections across all studies were low (n=97) at 10–16 weeks and did not show an increased risk with biologic therapies compared with placebo. Seven head-to-head RCTs were identified, most of which showed no significant difference in the risk of serious infections at 10–16 weeks and at 1 year. Adalimumab was not associated with a significant increased risk of serious infections compared with methotrexate in children at 10–16 weeks. Conclusions Biologics for psoriasis were not associated with an increased risk of serious infections compared with placebo or one another at 10–16 weeks. Longer-term, real-world data with larger sample sizes are warranted.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.014
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.031
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Meta-analysis · Consensus signal: Meta-analysis
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.020
Threshold uncertainty score0.072

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0140.031
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0030.002
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0200.047
Bibliometrics0.0100.009
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.002
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.256
Teacher spread0.231 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designMeta-analysis
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venuemedRxiv→Same topicPsoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis→French-language works237,207→