Ovarian cancer incidence and death in average-risk women undergoing bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy at benign hysterectomy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Opportunistic bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy is often offered to patients undergoing benign hysterectomy to prevent ovarian cancer, but the magnitude of risk reduction obtained with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy in this population remains unclear and must be weighed against potential risks of ovarian hormone deficiency. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to quantify the relative and absolute risk reduction in ovarian cancer incidence and death associated with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy at the time of benign hysterectomy. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a population-based cohort study of all adult women (≥20 years) undergoing benign hysterectomy from 1996 to 2010 in Ontario, Canada. Patients with ovarian pathology, previous breast or gynecologic cancer, or evidence of genetic susceptibility to malignancy were excluded. Inverse probability of treatment-weighted Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to quantify the effect of bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy on ovarian cancer incidence and death while accounting for competing risks and adjusting for demographic characteristics, gynecologic conditions, and comorbidities. Analyses were performed in all women and specifically in women of postmenopausal age (≥50 years) at the time of hysterectomy. RESULTS: We identified 195,282 patients (bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy, 24%; ovarian conservation, 76%) with a median age of 45 years (interquartile range, 40-51 years). Over a median follow-up of 16 years (interquartile range, 12-20 years), 548 patients developed ovarian cancer (0.3%), and 16,170 patients (8.3%) died from any cause. Bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy was associated with decreased ovarian cancer incidence (hazard ratio, 0.23; 95% confidence interval, 0.14-0.38; P<.001) and decreased ovarian cancer death (hazard ratio, 0.30; 95% confidence interval, 0.16-0.57; P<.001). At 20 years follow-up, the weighted cumulative incidences of ovarian cancer were 0.08% and 0.46% with bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy and ovarian conservation, respectively, yielding an absolute risk reduction of 0.38% (95% confidence interval, 0.32-0.45; number needed to treat, 260). After restricting to women aged ≥50 years at hysterectomy, the absolute risk reduction was 0.62% (95% confidence interval, 0.47-0.77; number needed to treat, 161). CONCLUSION: Bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy resulted in a significant absolute reduction in ovarian cancer among women undergoing benign hysterectomy. Population-average risk estimates derived in this study should be balanced against other potential implications of bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy to inform practice guidelines, patient decision-making, and surgical management.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".