US-Focused Conceptual Health Care Decision-Analytic Models Examining the Value of Pivmecillinam Relative to Current Standard-of-Care Agents Among Adult Patients With Uncomplicated Urinary Tract Infections due to Enterobacterales
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Pivmecillinam is approved for the treatment of adults with uncomplicated urinary tract infection (uUTI) in Canada and Europe and is pending United States (US) Food and Drug Administration submission for consideration for approval. US-focused health care decision-analytics were developed to define the value of an agent like pivmecillinam relative to current standard-of-care (SOC) agents among adult patients with Enterobacterales uUTIs based on its improved microbiologic activity against common Enterobacterales. METHODS: The model population was 100 theoretical adult outpatients with Enterobacterales uUTIs under 4 different uUTI first-line empiric treatment scenarios (ie, pivmecillinam, nitrofurantoin, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole [SXT], or fluoroquinolones). The total mean uUTI-related 30-day costs, including inappropriate treatment costs, were calculated for each regimen. The range of pivmecillinam regimen costs that conferred cost savings relative to the current SOC agents based on its potentially improved microbiologic activity against common Enterobacterales was determined. RESULTS: The 30-day uUTI-related costs associated with nitrofurantoin, SXT, and fluoroquinolones were $655.61, $687.57, and $659.69, respectively. The pivmecillinam neutral regimen cost thresholds that resulted in the same uUTI-related 30-day per-patient costs for nitrofurantoin, SXT, and fluoroquinolones were $83.50, $115.45, and $87.58, respectively. The overall antimicrobial susceptibility improvement required with pivmecillinam fixed at $200/regimen, for it to be cost savings relative to SOC agents, was 28%. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses suggests that an agent like pivmecillinam, if approved in the US, has the potential to reduce the economic burden associated with inappropriate treatment of adult outpatients with uUTIs, especially in patients at high risk for an Enterobacterales uUTI that is resistant to SOC agents.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".