SP4.2.15 An international multi-centre appraisal of the management and outcomes of acute CHOLEcystitis during the COVID-19 pandemic: The CHOLECOVID Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Introduction National guidance issued in response to COVID-19 resulted in adoption of non-surgical modes of treatment in emergency surgery, including acute cholecystitis (AC). The CHOLECOVID Study is the definitive global audit of the management and outcomes of AC during COVID19. Methods Patients >18 years admitted to hospital with radiologically confirmed AC, during two predefined 8-week time periods: P1 (pre-pandemic) 12/09/19- 12/11/19; P2 (during the pandemic) 12/03/20-12/05/20, were included. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included severity of AC, radiological diagnostic modalities implemented, definitive management and pulmonary complications. Results 9,615 patients were included from 39 countries (P1:5,381; P2:4,234). 30-day mortality was higher in P2 (1.7%vs2.4%; p < 0.015). Higher rates of moderate and severe AC were seen in P2 (30.1%vs35.1%;3.7%vs4.1%). First-line CT imaging was more common in P2 (36.3%vs46.3%; p < 0.001). There were higher failure rates of conservative management in P2 (37.4% vs 44.4%; P < 0.001). Cholecystostomy rates were higher in P2 (5.8%vs8.8%; P < 0.001). Overall 4.6% (n = 193) of P2 patients were COVID-19 positive, with overall mortality of 0.7% (n = 30). There was no significant difference in pulmonary complications between COVID-19 positive or negative patients. Conclusion During the COVID-19 pandemic, a small increase in mortality among AC patients was noted, when compared to the pre-pandemic cohort. Patients during the COVID-19 pandemic presented with more severe AC, resulting in altered trends in diagnosis and management. New guidance and clear pathways are required to safely manage AC moving forward, in the face of further waves of COVID-19.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".