Supplementary data to: Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This archive contains data and results produced in a study assessing glacial lakes and related outburst flood hazard and risk on Earth's Third Pole (linked to a journal article: Increasing risk of glacial lake outburst floods from future Third Pole deglaciation, published in Nature Climate Change in 2021). Archive contents The archive contents are origanised into four parts, each stored as a .zip compressed file. 1. Glacial lake data sets Glacial lake data sets mapped for 1990 and 2015, and modelled for the future scenarios (2050 and 2100 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5; and an ice-free scenario) on the Third Pole. This directory includes: glacial_lakes_1990_v1.shp glacial_lakes_2015_v1.shp projected_glacial_lakes_2050_rcp26.shp projected_glacial_lakes_2050_rcp45.shp projected_glacial_lakes_2050_rcp85.shp projected_glacial_lakes_2100_rcp26.shp projected_glacial_lakes_2100_rcp45.shp projected_glacial_lakes_2100_rcp85.shp projected_glacial_lakes_ice-free.shp metadata.xlsx 2. Hazard and risk assessments GLOF hazard and risk assessment results for present (2015) and modelled potential glacial lakes (2050 and 2100 under RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5; and an ice-free scenario) on the Third Pole. This directory includes: present_hazard_and_risk_2015.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_2050_rcp26.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_2050_rcp45.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_2050_rcp85.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_2100_rcp26.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_2100_rcp45.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_2100_rcp85.shp projected_hazard_and_risk_ice-free.shp metadata.xlsx 3. Transboundary threats Potentially dangerous glacial lakes with transboundary GLOF threats for present (2015) and modelled potential glacial lakes (ice-free scenario) on the Third Pole. This directory includes: present_potential_transboundary_glacial_lakes_2015.shp projected_potential_transboundary_glacial_lakes_ice-free.shp cross_border_points_present.shp cross_border_points_projected.shp metadata.xlsx 4. Aggregated results Region or hydrobasin/interior zone aggregated results for present and modelled potential glacial lakes and related hazard and risk assessments on the Third Pole. This directory includes: region_aggregated.shp basin_aggregated.shp metadata.xlsx
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.016 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.808 | 0.334 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".