From Seismic Quiescence to Surged Activity After Decades of Wastewater Disposal: A Case Study in Central‐West Alberta, Canada
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Injection‐induced earthquakes associated with wastewater disposal (WD) in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin are much fewer than those linked to hydraulic fracturing. Recently, 43 WD‐related earthquakes (M1.3–3.9) occurred in a historically seismically quiet area where long‐term injections became intensive since 2018, foreshadowing a critical stress state accumulated from long‐term injections. Our improved earthquake locations show that the injection well targeting the deeper middle‐upper Devonian aquifer system causes more vigorous seismicity with a wide range of stress drop values (0.8–230 MPa) compared to other shallower wells. Three physical mechanisms may collectively lead to the observed seismic pattern: (a) the underlying Devonian reef system makes it easier for injected fluids to migrate horizontally, (b) fluids can be channeled into the widespread critical faults and migrate vertically to cause earthquakes along it, and (c) aseismic slip probably triggered within the Duvernay formation by fluid migrating can further facilitate seismicity at shallower depths.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".