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S655 Risk of GI Bleeding After Urgent ERCP in Patients on Dual Anti-Platelet Therapy: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

2021· article· en· W3210085827 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Aakash Desai, Yuhan Fu, Tarun Rustagi, Nisheet Waghray, Dalbir S. Sandhu

Bibliographic record

VenueThe American Journal of Gastroenterology · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicAutoimmune and Inflammatory Disorders
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineClopidogrelInternal medicineOdds ratioCohortRetrospective cohort studyAspirinSurgeryDiscontinuation

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Introduction: Discontinuation of dual anti-platelet therapy (DaPT) is not always feasible prior to urgent high-risk endoscopic procedures. The primary aim of our study was to assess the risk and severity of clinically significant GI bleeding and its outcomes after urgent ERCP in patients on DaPT. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis in the IBM Explorys database (1999-2021), a pooled, national, de-identified clinical database of over 74 million unique patients from 300 hospitals across the United States. Patient populations were identified using SNOMED and ICD codes. The DaPT cohort included patients with myocardial infarction or endovascular stent placement who were on aspirin and clopidogrel; and subsequently developed cholangitis or biliary obstruction within 1 year and had ERCP within 3 days. Clinically significant GI bleeding was defined as needing esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) within 7 days of ERCP. Control cohort did not include patients on aspirin or other anti-platelet agents. We excluded patients with any other etiology of GI bleeding from both cohorts. Clinical outcomes assessed included early GI bleeding (< 2 days), late GI bleeding (2-7 days), cardiac arrest within 30 days, embolization, blood transfusion and repeat EGD. Odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CI) was performed to compare the risk of each clinical outcome between the cohorts. Results: Patients in DaPT cohort had a higher risk of cardiac arrest (OR 7.74, 95% CI 5.19 - 11.55) and blood transfusion (OR 2.96, 95% CI 2.14 - 4.09) compared to the control cohort, however risk of early GI bleed and late GI bleed was similar (Figure 1). Sub-group analysis showed patients who had sphincterotomy or combination therapy had a higher risk of late GI bleeding and blood transfusion compared to control cohort (Table 1). Sensitivity analysis did not show any difference in GI bleed outcomes with respect to age > 65, gender, thrombocytopenia, CKD stage >= 3, obesity and diabetes mellitus in the sphincterotomy group. Conclusion: Our findings suggest sphincterotomy should be avoided in patients on DaPT when P2Y12 receptor inhibitors cannot be stopped. The need for potential blood transfusion should be discussed with patients during informed consent. The higher risk of cardiac arrest could be related to temporary discontinuation of DaPT, delay in ERCP or underlying cardiovascular comorbidity, however this needs be further evaluated in future studies.Figure 1.: A. Demographics and mean ago of the study population. B. Group comparisons using a post hoc test.Table 1.: Study Methodology Quality Assessment on Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.008
Threshold uncertainty score0.016

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.006
GPT teacher head0.243
Teacher spread0.237 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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