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Record W3210625331 · doi:10.5281/zenodo.4095485

Models and Predictions for "Rainfall-Runoff Prediction at Multiple Timescales with a Single Long Short-Term Memory Network"

2020· dataset· en· W3210625331 on OpenAlexaff
Martin Gauch, Frederik Kratzert, Daniel Klotz, Grey Nearing, Jimmy Lin, Sepp Hochreiter

Bibliographic record

VenueZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) · 2020
Typedataset
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicHydrological Forecasting Using AI
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTerm (time)Surface runoffEnvironmental scienceMeteorologyComputer scienceGeographyPhysicsEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Models and Predictions for the paper "Rainfall-Runoff Prediction at Multiple Timescales with a Single Long Short-Term Memory Network" GitHub: https://github.com/gauchm/mts-lstm Results The file `results.tar.gz` contains: ensembled predictions for all models (generated from the models in `models/` using the `nh-results-ensemble` command). These predictions were used in the `results-analysis.ipynb` and `odelstm-analysis.ipynb` notebooks on the GitHub repository for the paper. the NWM predictions `nwm_chrt_v2_1h.p` contains hourly NWM predictions for the CAMELS basins between 1993 and 2007. The file is derived from the reanalysis on aws. `nwm_results.p` is derived from `nwm_chrt_v2_1h.p` and contains hourly and day-aggregated results and performance metrics for the test period of our paper. a file `signatures.p` with hydrologic signatures that were calculated from the models' predictions. These signatures were used in the `results-analysis.ipynb` notebook on the GitHub repository for the paper. Models The tar.gz files prefixed with `models-` contain the trained MTS-LSTM, sMTS-LSTM, and ODE-LSTM models from our experiments. For each experiment, there exist 10 model setups (one for each random seed). Besides the trained models, each model's tar.gz also contains the predictions on the test or validation perod and the configuration file used to train the model. MTS-LSTM `mtslstm_seed*` -- the MTS-LSTM from the benchmarking section of the paper (using one forcings product, trained on daily and hourly data) `mtslstm_multiforcing_seed*` -- the MTS-LSTM from the section on per-timescale input data, experiment "multi-forcing B" (using just NLDAS as hourly inputs) `mtslstm_multiforcing_dailyhourly_seed*` -- the MTS-LTSM from the section on per-timescale input data, experiment "multi-forcing A" (ingesting daily forcings into the hourly model) `mtsltsm_136H1D_seed*` -- the MTS-LTSM from the section on prediction at other timescales (1-, 3-, 6-hourly and daily predictions) sMTS-LSTM `smtslstm_seed*` -- the sMTS-LSTM from the benchmarking section of the paper (using one forcings product, trained on daily and hourly data) `smtslstm_noregularization_seed*` -- the sMTS-LSTM from the section on cross-timescale consistency (trained without regularization) Time-Continuous Experiments The file `models-timecontinuous.tar.gz` contains one sub-folder per basin on which we conducted our initial experiments. Each basin directory contains: Experiment A (trained on daily and 12-hourly, evaluated on hourly): `odelstm_a_seed*` -- the ODE-LSTM from experiment A `mtslstm_a_seed*` -- the MTS-LSTM from experiment A Experiment B (trained on hourly and 3-hourly, evaluated on daily) `odelstm_b_seed*` -- the ODE-LSTM from experiment B `mtslstm_b_seed*` -- the MTS-LSTM from experiment B Related Datasets: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4072700 contains the hourly NLDAS forcings and USGS streamflow required to use the models from this dataset.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Dataset · Consensus signal: Dataset
Teacher disagreement score0.109
Threshold uncertainty score0.365

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.003
Open science0.0030.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1090.060

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.049
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.177 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreDataset

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations1
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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