Plasma Soluble Tumor Necrosis Factor Receptor Concentrations and Clinical Events after Hospitalization: Findings from ASSESS-AKI and ARID studies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background The role of plasma soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor (sTNFR)1 and sTNFR2 in the prognosis of clinical events after hospitalization with or without acute kidney injury (AKI) is unknown. Methods We measured sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 obtained 3 months post-discharge using samples from Assessment, Serial Evaluation, and Subsequent Sequelae of Acute Kidney Injury (ASSESS-AKI) and AKI Risk in Derby (ARID) that enrolled patients with and without AKI. The associations between biomarkers with longitudinal kidney disease incidence and progression, heart failure and death were evaluated. Analyses were adjusted for demographics and key covariates at the 3-month visit. Results Among 1474 participants with plasma biomarker measurements, 19% developed kidney disease progression, 14% had later heart failure, and 21% died over a median follow-up of 4.4 years. For the kidney outcome, the adjusted HRs per doubling in concentration were 2.9 (2.2-3.9) for sTNFR1 and 1.9 (1.5-2.5) for sTNFR2. AKI during the index hospitalization did not modify the association between biomarkers and kidney events. For heart failure, the adjusted HRs per doubling in concentration were 1.9 (1.4-2.5) for sTNFR1 and 1.5 (1.2-2.0) for sTNFR2. For mortality, the adjusted HRs were 3.3 (2.5-4.3) for sTNFR1 and 2.5 (2.0-3.1) for sTNFR2. The findings in ARID were qualitatively similar for the magnitude of association between biomarkers and outcomes. Conclusion Plasma sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 measured 3 months after discharge were independently associated with clinical events, regardless of AKI status during the index admission. sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 may assist with the risk stratification of patients during follow-up. Significance Statement Soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1) and sTNFR2 associate with kidney outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease with and without diabetes mellitus. However, their role in the post-hospitalization stage is unknown. High sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 obtained 3 months after discharge associate with kidney events, heart failure hospitalizations, and death among patients who did and did not have acute kidney injury (AKI). Furthermore, sTNFRs provide discriminative value at the time of predicting kidney events. These findings were demonstrated in two large independent prospective cohorts. sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 may detect patients at risk of future adverse events even when patients do not meet the clinical criteria for AKI or exhibit biochemical abnormalities.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.014 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".