A population-based retrospective cohort study analyzing contemporary trends in the surgical management of urinary stone disease in adults
Bibliographic record
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: We aimed to review the trends and incidence of surgical intervention for adults with upper urinary tract stones in Ontario, Canada, and to hypothesize potential causes for the observed changes. METHODS: We carried out a retrospective, population-based cohort study using administrative databases held at the Institute of Clinical Evaluative Sciences (ICES) to identify all adults (≥18 years) who underwent surgical treatment for urolithiasis, defined by records using a combination of both hospital and physician billing from 2002-2019. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize baseline patient demographics, and surgical trends were analyzed using the Cochrane-Armitage test for trend. RESULTS: From 2002-2019, 140 263 patients were treated surgically for urolithiasis. During this time period, the total number of surgically treated stone disease increased by 80.5%. By type of procedure, percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL) increased by 187% and ureteroscopy (URS) increased by 158%, while the number of shockwave lithotripsy (SWL) declined by 31.4%. The adult population in Ontario in the years evaluated grew by 24.4%. The number of surgical procedures per 100 000 people over this time grew by 45.3%. For every 1% increase in the population, there was a 2.6% rise in stone-related surgical procedures. CONCLUSIONS: The number of stone-related surgical procedures performed rose significantly and cannot be accounted for by population growth alone. This rise was proportionally larger in the female population, further supporting a narrowing of the gender gap in urinary stone disease. The reasons for the increase are likely multifactorial and may imply an increasing incidence of surgically treated stone disease. The change in the proportion of URS and SWL performed may demonstrate a continued shift in surgical preference or may be reflective of resource limitations and availability. The increase in PCNL volumes may also suggest a greater complexity of cases. These findings should be considered for future resource planning and require further study.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".