AS FOLLOWS FROM OUR MODEL THE NORTH MAGNETIC POLE IS STABLE IN ITS DRIFT
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Северный магнитный полюс движется согласно модели дрейфа, предложенной канадским магнитологом Хоупом 1 и разработанной автором этой статьи 2, 3. В основе модели участие двух глобальных магнитных аномалий (ГМА): Канадской (КМА) и Сибирской (СМА). Вблизи этих ГМА расположены магнитные обсерватории: РезольютБей (RB Resolute Bay) в Канаде и Мыс Челюскин (CCh Cape Chelyskin) в России. Обсерватории регистрируют изменения величин Нкомпонент модуля геомагнитного поля (ГМП), причем в настоящее время в Канадском секторе регистрируется увеличение модуля ГМП, а в Сибирском, его уменьшение. Точка, в которой направленные навстречу векторы Нкомпонент равны друг другу, а Нкомпонента равна нулю, и есть СМП. Скорость дрейфа СМП определяется скоростью увеличения (или уменьшения) величин соответствующих ГМА. Использование этой простейшей схемы позволило автору давать очень точные прогнозы мест расположения СМП. Точно так же было определено время перехода СМП из Западного полушария в Восточное (лето 2019). Точность методики определяется исключительно точностью аппроксимации величины Нкомпонент 24. The North Magnetic Pole submits its moving to the drift model proposed by Canadian magnitologist Hope 5 and this developed by the author 6,7 which suggests an impact of two global magnetic anomalies (GMA), Canadian (CMA) and Siberian (SMA) into the pole drift. Magnetic observatories Resolute Bay, Canada, and Cape Chelyskin, Russia, located near these GMA, are recording the Hcomponent values. Nowadays increasing at the Canada area the geomagnetic field module is decreasing at the Siberia one. The NMP is the point where the vectors of Hcomponent directed towards each other are equal and the value of Hcomponent makes zero. The velocity of the NMP drift is determined by the fluctuating rate of GMA magnitudes. This technique enabled the author to predict as the NMP positions and the time of the NMP transit from the West hemisphere to the East one as 2019, summer. The technique accuracy is governed by accuracy of Hcomponent values approximation 6, 7, 13.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.025 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".