P110 Risk Factors of Clinical Relapses in Pediatric Luminal Crohn’s Disease, a Retrospective Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Few risk factors are associated with the risk of relapses of Crohn’s disease in children. The aims of this retrospective cohort study were to describe the rate of relapses in children with Crohn’s disease, its evolution over the past decade and to determine risk factors associated with relapse. Methods Patients under 18 years old and diagnosed between 2009 and 2019 were included. Patients clinical, endoscopic, histological, and laboratory characteristics, as well as their treatments, where collected from their medical records and the prospective CHU Sainte-Justine inflammatory bowel disease registry. Survival analyses and Cox regression models were used to assess the impact of those risk factors on relapse. Results 639 patients were included. There was a decrease in the clinical relapse rate over the past decade: 70.9% of patients diagnosed between 2009 and 2014 experienced a relapse compared to 49.1% of patients diagnosed between 2015 and 2019 (p<0.0001). The following variables were associated with clinical relapse: female sex (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR)= 1.51, p=0.0009), high PCDAI (aHR= 1.02, p=0.04) and SES-CD (aHR= 1.03, p=0.03) scores at diagnosis, upper digestive tract involvement (aHR= 1.59, p=0.0003), exposure to oral 5-ASA (aHR= 1.91, p=0.0003), use of immunomodulatory agents compared to TNF-alpha inhibitors (methotrexate aHR= 1.91, p=0.0006; thiopurines aHR= 2.06, p<0.0001), presence of granulomas (aHR= 1.27, p=0.04) and increased eosinophils on intestinal biopsies (aHR= 1.34, p=0.02), high levels of C-reactive protein (aHR= 1.01, p<0.0001) and fecal calprotectin (aHR=1.09, p<0.0001) during clinical remission and low serum infliximab levels during maintenance (aHR for mean serum infliximab level under 7ug/mL = 2.48, p=0.005). Figure 1: Kaplan-Meier curve representing patients time to relapse according to the first maintenance treatment administered. Conclusion Relapse risk was significantly associated with baseline clinical, endoscopic, histological and laboratory data and treatment strategies. These results could help better select treatment options for pediatric Crohn’s disease at induction and maintenance. Figure 2: Kaplan-Meier curve representing patients time to relapse according to the mean infliximab level in post-induction.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".