Association between caesarean birth and childhood cancer: An age‐lagged approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
AIM: We assessed the association between caesarean birth and age-specific risks of childhood cancer. METHODS: We followed a cohort of 1 034 049 children between 2006 and 2020 in Quebec, Canada, from birth until age 14 years. The exposure was caesarean, operative vaginal, or spontaneous vaginal birth. The outcome included haematopoietic or solid tumours. We calculated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association between mode of delivery and childhood cancer in age-lagged analyses, adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: A total of 249 415 (24.1%) children were born by caesarean and 97 411 (9.4%) by operative vaginal delivery. Compared with spontaneous vaginal birth, caesarean was associated with 1.16 times the risk of any cancer (95% CI 1.04-1.30), 1.12 times the risk of haematopoietic cancer (95% CI 0.92-1.36) and 1.21 times the risk of solid tumours (95% 1.06-1.39). Associations strengthened at 2 years of age and were greatest for lymphoma and sarcoma. Operative vaginal birth was not significantly associated with the risk of cancer. CONCLUSION: Caesarean birth may be associated with selected childhood cancers, including lymphoma and sarcoma early in childhood. The underlying reasons for the associations require further investigation, including whether mucosal dysbiosis or labour hormone exposure explain the excess risk.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".