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Record W4235024339 · doi:10.1057/9781137539564_8

Conclusion

2016· book-chapter· en· W4235024339 on OpenAlex
George A. Gonzalez

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenuePalgrave Macmillan US eBooks · 2016
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicScience and Climate Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPetroleumOil sandsUrban sprawlShale oilOil shaleOil refineryConsumption (sociology)Unconventional oilNatural resource economicsGeographyAgricultural economicsEconomicsEngineeringWaste managementGeologyArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The extraction/processing of the Canadian oil sands is predominately a political phenomenon, and less so an economic one. This is evident in three specific ways. First, the demand that is now existent for the oil sands results directly from the historically profligate oil use on the part of the United States (i.e., urban sprawl). (As I show in Chapters 4 and 5, urban sprawl in the United States is itself a political phenomenon.) US oil consumption has played a huge role in the disappearance of so-called easy oil—with America annually consuming 20 to 25 percent of world petroleum production. The International Energy Agency (IEA) in 2010 declared that conventional petroleum production peaked in 2006.1 With conventional oil extraction seemingly declining, "hard" petroleum, such as the oil sands, oil shale, deepwater petroleum (e.g., in the Gulf of Mexico), and the like, becomes economically feasible. Moreover, continuing massive consumption of gasoline/oil by the United States creates an economic environment favorable to producing oil from the tar sands, and other unconventional petroleum sources (as well as difficult to reach pools of crude—e.g., Arctic Ocean oil2). (Higher production/processing costs for "hard" oil means that the cost of a barrel of petroleum must be above a certain price point [e.g., $50] to be able to bring these energy sources profitably to market.3)KeywordsUrban SprawlInternational Energy AgencyInternational Energy AgencyEconomic ElitePolitical PhenomenonThese keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.563
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0100.008

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.236
Teacher spread0.218 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it