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Record W4242973941 · doi:10.2118/2009-004

Numerical History Match of the Burnt Lake SAGD Process

2009· article· en· W4242973941 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Y. Ito, J. Chen

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian International Petroleum Conference · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicReservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProcess (computing)Petroleum engineeringGeologyComputer scienceEnvironmental science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract The Burnt Lake Oil Sand Lease is located about 300 km northeast of Edmonton. The lease is estimated to contain 330 million m3 of bitumen in place in the Clearwater oil sands formation. Cold production was tested in the lease to recovery 11–12 °API crude bitumen between 1990 and 1993. Three pairs of SAGD operation began in April of 1997 after three months of circulation. Many interesting characteristics were identified in the injection and production history. During the first year of operation, pressure and oil production rates decreased when steam injection rates were reduced. After the second year of operation, oil production rates responded inversely to steam injection rates. Oil rates were reduced when steam rates were increased and oil rates increased when steam rates were reduced. Declines in oil rates were relatively slow over the entire operation period. When the steam injection was stopped for about five months after five years of operation, the operation pressure and oil production rates were gradually reduced during this period. Many other unexpected trends were also observed. All these features were consistently seen in all three pairs. This paper presents these behaviours in detail. A simulation study of nine years of performance of Pair 1 was conducted to understand these characteristics. The history match demonstrated that oil production was achieved by two different mechanisms: one was expansion of the steam chamber and the other was drainage of oil from the layer above the steam chamber. Many unexpected performances were the result of the combination of these two recovery mechanisms. Introduction Three pairs of SAGD wells began production in April of 1997 after three month of circulation. Cumulative performances to December 31, 2005 were: (Table available in full paper) Steam injection rates, oil production rates, and operation pressure of these SAGD pairs are shown in Figures 1 to 3. Well performances of Pair 1 were selected for the numerical history match study. Three months averaged steam injection and oil production rates are shown in Figure 4. Many interesting characteristics were identified in the injection and production history. 1. During the first year (April 1997 to April 1998), the operation pressure and oil production rates decreased when steam injection rates were reduced. Operation pressure and oil production rates were positively sensitive to the steam injection rates. This is typically expected for the SAGD process. However, this characteristic was detected mainly during the first year of operation. 2. After the second year of operation, oil production rates responded inversely to steam injection rates. When steam injection rates were increased, oil production rates were reduced and when steam injection rates were decreased, oil production rates were increased. 3. Steam injection was stopped in October of 2002 for about five months while operation pressure and oil production rates were gradually reduced during this period. Similar characteristics were also noticed in 2003 and 2004.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.154
Threshold uncertainty score0.661

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.018
GPT teacher head0.243
Teacher spread0.225 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2009
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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