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Record W4255226570 · doi:10.1167/14.10.1029

Probability Cues Enhance Perceptual Estimations

2014· article· en· W4255226570 on OpenAlexaff
Syaheed B. Jabar, Britt Anderson

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Vision · 2014
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicDecision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCued speechKurtosisPerceptionProbability distributionPsychologyComputer scienceStatisticsCognitive psychologyMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Stimulus probabilities affect detection performance: Rare targets, even if important (e.g. bombs, abnormal medical scans, etc.), are missed more often than their higher-probability counterparts. To minimize such probability-related costs, there is a need to understand how probability expectations develop and how they interact with attentional and perceptual processes. A previous experiment demonstrated that observers made smaller judgement errors when estimating orientations of exogenously-cued versus non-cued spatial gabors, suggesting that attentional deployment affects perceptual representations of target stimuli. Using the same paradigm, but with endogenous probability cuing (e.g. having right-positioned gabors likely being right-tilting), we replicated the effect: In Experiment 1a, observers were more precise (i.e. made smaller errors and had a more kurtotic distribution of angular errors) in their estimates for high-probability tilts than low-probability tilts. In Experiment 1b, where different probability distributions were conditionally cued (i.e. having the position-to-probability relation dependent on cue colour), the kurtosis measure again differentiated observers performance between orientation probabilities. Across both experiments, changes in kurtosis rapidly developed despite observers not being instructed on the underlying probability distributions. Curiously, observers were also more precise when judging gabors with near-vertical rather than near-horizontal orientations, while simultaneously displaying judgement errors that were systematically skewed towards the vertical rather than the horizontal meridian. These findings on kurtosis and vertical-bias coalesce in Experiment 2, which tested graded probabilities instead of a binary high/low probability distinction. Particularly, there appears to be a synergistic effect of having near vertical-tilts on the kurtosis measure for higher versus lower-probability tilts. In short, endogenous probability cuing, even if relatively complex, results in behavioral performance closely aligned to what one would expect from traditional attentional manipulations such as exogenous cuing. Possibly, the learning of stimulus probabilities might interact with pre-existing perceptual biases to weight perceptual processing towards expected targets and/or away from less expected targets. Meeting abstract presented at VSS 2014

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.036
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Bench or experimental · Consensus signal: Bench or experimental
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.006
Threshold uncertainty score0.019

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.036
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.004
Open science0.0010.004
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.131
GPT teacher head0.441
Teacher spread0.310 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designBench or experimental
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2014
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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