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Applied Policymaking

2015· book-chapter· en· W4256521848 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Scott Victor Valentine

Bibliographic record

VenueOxford University Press eBooks · 2015
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicSustainability and Climate Change Governance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsWind powerContext (archaeology)PoliticsGovernment (linguistics)PremiseUnderpinningSociocultural evolutionPolitical scienceChinaEconomic systemPolitical economySociologyEconomicsEngineeringGeographyLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Chapter 10 summarized nine social factors, seven technological factors, seven economic factors, and nine political factors that have influenced the fortunes of wind power development in the six case study nations covered in this book. The premise underpinning the previous chapter is that successful wind power development policy depends on strategic management of forces of change within four contextual areas depicted in Figure 11.1. There are three basic tenets underpinning this model. First, the environment in which wind power policy is formulated and implemented can be better understood by comprehensive analysis of conditions within four contextual areas: the sociocultural context, the economic context, the technological context, and the political context. Within each of these four areas there are dominant forces (variables) that have proven to be influential in hindering or helping wind power development. The trouble is that for each nation, the relative importance of each influential variable differs because energy policy in each nation is influenced by a unique conflation of sociocultural, technological, economic, and political conditions. For example, a high degree of information asymmetry is evident in both Japan and China. Citizens of both nations lack adequate information about the pros and cons of energy technologies to make informed decisions. In Japan, information asymmetry helps explain why there is so little support for wind power and why the government has been able to continue its advocacy of nuclear power. In China citizens are also kept largely in the dark about energy sector developments, but this is not a problem for wind power development because the government is committed to supporting wind power whether the public consents or not. In short, information asymmetry is a barrier to wind power development in Japan, but in China, it is not. Second, the analysis of STEP forces is complicated because variables within each of these four contextual areas interact in unpredictable ways due to the complexity of variable interrelations. Cause-and-effect links are extensive which means that numerous positive and negative feedbacks catalyze chaotic systemic evolution. For example Canada possesses a wealth of hydropower capacity that suggests a high degree of grid resilience.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.010
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.020
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.103
Threshold uncertainty score0.343

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0100.020
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.003
Science and technology studies0.0050.006
Scholarly communication0.0130.007
Open science0.0020.005
Research integrity0.0070.006
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.1030.026

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.046
GPT teacher head0.222
Teacher spread0.175 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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