Gestational age at birth and body size from infancy through adolescence: findings from analyses of individual data on 253,810 singletons in 16 birth cohort studies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Preterm birth is the leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality, and is associated with adverse developmental and long-term health outcomes, including several cardio-metabolic risk factors. However, evidence about the association of preterm birth with later body size derives mainly from studies using birth weight as proxy of prematurity rather than actual length of gestation. We investigated the association of gestational age at birth (GA) with body size from infancy through adolescence. Methods and Findings We conducted a two-stage Individual Participant Data (IPD) meta-analysis using data from 253,810 mother-children dyads from 16 general population-based cohort studies in Europe, North America and Australasia to estimate the association of GA with standardized Body Mass Index (BMI) and overweight (including obesity) adjusted for confounders. Using a federated analytical tool (DataSHIELD), we fitted linear and logistic regression models in each cohort separately, and combined the regression estimates and standard errors through random-effects study-level meta-analysis providing an overall effect estimate at early infancy (>0.0-0.5 years), late infancy (>0.5-2.0 years), early childhood (>2.0-5.0 years), mid-childhood (>5.0-9.0 years), late childhood (>9.0-14.0 years) and adolescence (>14.0-19.0 years). GA was positively associated with BMI in the first decade of life with mean differences in BMI z-score (0.01-0.02) per week of increase in GA, however preterm infants reached similar levels of BMI as term infants by adolescence. The association of GA with risk of overweight revealed a similar pattern of results from late infancy through mid-childhood with an increased odds of overweight (OR 1.01-1.02) per week increase in GA. By adolescence, however, GA was slightly negatively associated with risk of overweight (OR 0.98 [95% CI: 0.97:1.00]) per week of increase in GA, and children born very preterm had increased odds of overweight (OR 1.46 [95% CI: 1.03; 2.08]) compared with term. The findings were consistent across cohorts and sensitivity analyses, despite considerable heterogeneity in cohort characteristics. Conclusion Higher GA is potentially clinically important for higher BMI in infancy, while the association attenuates consistently with age. By adolescence, preterm children have on average a similar mean BMI to those born term.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.028 | 0.041 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.005 | 0.025 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".