Detecting trading trends in financial tick data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The DEBS Grand Challenge (GC) is an annual programming competition open to practitioners from both academia and industry. The GC 2022 edition focuses on real-time complex event processing of high-volume tick data provided by Infront Financial Technology GmbH. The goal of the challenge is to efficiently compute specific trend indicators and detect patterns in these indicators like those used by real-life traders to decide on buying or selling in financial markets. The data set Trading Data used for benchmarking contains 289 million tick events from approximately 5500+ financial instruments that had been traded on the three major exchanges Amsterdam (NL), Paris (FR), and Frankfurt am Main (GER) over the course of a full week in 2021. The data set is made publicly available. In addition to correctness and performance, submissions must explicitly focus on reusability and practicability. Hence, participants must address specific nonfunctional requirements and are asked to build upon open-source platforms. This paper describes the required scenario and the data set Trading Data, defines the queries of the problem statement, and explains the enhancements made to the evaluation platform Challenger that handles data distribution, dynamic subscriptions, and remote evaluation of the submissions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.031 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".